Donald Trump: The global economy in his mandate
Introduction
Donald Trump was elected as the 45th president of the USA. UU. On November 8, 2016 and it is said that he assumed the position of president of the United States on January 20, 2016. The new president of the USA. UU. Choose a Donald Trump and has proposed many new policies to run. Government, which has created curiosity among global investors. The experts that you have these policies can be expensive, and not only for the US. UU., But for the global economy. More important, it is expected that the scenario of global trade changes drastically under its leadership.
Developing
Its policies can be global, at least in the short term. Donald Trump will occupy the US presidential office. UU. At the beginning of 2017, so the current response and the short term of the market is due in large part to the planned and planned policy changes. After being in the load, planning to follow expansionist tax policies (increase spending, especially in defense and infrastructure), limit debt restrictions and drastically reduce taxes (mainly benefiting large corporations). This fiscal stimulus can boost economic growth in the United States.
At least in the short term, together with inflation. However, unless as many reforms at the place of greater tax collection. This works as a narrowing towards growth and employment in the USA. UU. And inflation will significantly increase. Some policies proposed by Trump have different complications for relationships around the world. However, what is more surprising, what is more important is the way to address climate change or global warming in the propagation of xenophobia, it remains its protectionist agenda towards world trade.
Its reasons for establishing tariffs on import imports, especially in China and Mexico, and China’s denomination as a currency manipulator, can negatively affect world trade. The most important thing is its attitude towards the United States of the Transpacific Association (TPP) points to a movement towards "anti -globalization". These factors combined with their comments on the ‘abolition of trade agreements’ and measures to eliminate migrant workers represent a great threat to the World Trade War.
The Transpacific Association (TPP), which culminated at the end of 2015 after years of negotiations between 12 commercial nations throughout the Pacific, excluding China, aims to address commercial problems among the nations involved. This agreement is considered to eliminated more than 18,000 commercial barriers between the states, which makes the US FTA. UU. (Important Free Trade Agreement) It is derived from commercial flows. Any change in this agreement can lead to other higher tariffs or introduce more commercial barriers.
conclusion
Michael Gapen, one of the American economists in Barclays, which refers to policies, employees, could carry out an increase of 0.5% to 1% in the economic growth of the US. UU. Next year. For the world economy, these commercial anti -globalization models are followed by other countries, this can further increase negative trade and currency wars, and ultimately, the world recession. The first half of 2017 will be crucial for everyone, observing the United States and, in particular, a Donald Trump for their next movements.
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